Showing posts with label Curt Schilling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Curt Schilling. Show all posts

Monday, March 23, 2009

ESPN Asks SportsNation Whether Schilling's A HOFer


Stupidity.

For more on this, read below.

Why Curt Schilling IS NOT a Hall Of Famer

Let the debate begin right here, right now on BERNing on Sports.  Now that Curt Schilling is retiring from baseball, the question whether he deserves hall of fame enshrinement arises.

Since I'm writing this post, I'll be the first to chime in, but I encourage your dissent or your agreement at the bottom of this article.

Let me be the first to tell you that answer to this question is a resounding NO.  I know, you're not surprised, because I have probably made this claim on this forum before.

This is not to say that Schilling didn't have a great career.  The combined longevity and post season excellence gives Schilling a decent (yes, only decent) case for hall enshrinement.  But if I was a member of the Baseball Writers Association of America, the panel that votes for these players, I would not put a check mark next to Schilling on my ballot.

Here's why:

Pitchers that warrant hall of fame induction exhibit a great level of consistent dominance over a long period during their career (unless their careers are ended prematurely by injury like Sandy Koufax's was).  Schilling's dominant stretch came between 2001-2004, when he was considered arguably the best pitcher in baseball during that time.   (He won 74 games over those 4 seasons.)  Yet while he was considered a very good pitcher during the 1990s, which covers 10 of the nearly 20 seasons in his career, you'd be hard pressed to argue that he was considered one of the best or the most dominant in that time.

This is because if you examine his statistics over the first decade of his career, you'd find there was not one dominant stretch.  His best year in the 90's was was the 1997 campaign in which he went 17-11 with a 2.97 ERA.  He was certainly dominant that year, as he struck out a whopping 319 batters while only walking 58.  But in the Phillies World Series year of 1993, while he had some incredible performances in the post season, his regular season was good, not great.  He went 16-7, but his ERA was 4.02.

In the rest of the 1990s, sure, the Phillies weren't a great team, but Schilling didn't accumulate the win total of a hall of fame pitcher.  He averaged just 11 wins per season, as he won 110 games during the decade.  How many hall of fame pitchers do you know that averaged 11 wins a year for a decade?

He had some years where he had a sparkling ERA (the aforementioned 2.97 ERA in 1997, a 2.35 ERA in 1992, a 3.19 ERA in 1996), and racked up a lot of strikeouts (319 in 1997, 300 in 1998).  For the most part, though, before the steroid era, he had some very good seasons, not great or hall of fame worthy statistics.  And there are pitchers that are not in the hall of fame, like Bert Blyleven, who won 71 more games than Schilling and whose numbers compare or exceed Schilling's in many respects, who are not in the Hall.  

After 2000, Schilling posted some banner years for his career, with Arizona in 2001 and 2002, and even without the win total he was still excellent in 2003.  In 2004 he was phenomenal again, leading the Red Sox to the World Series title for the first time in 86 years and pitching some amazing post-season games, like the famed "bloody sock" game.  In 2007 he was very good again, but great in the playoffs as Boston won yet another World Series title.  Schilling won three titles in the final seven years of his career, and because two of them were with the beloved Red Sox people will overrate his career today.

The simple fact is, he was a really good pitcher who was outrageous in the playoffs.  That doesn't make a hall of famer in my book.

Some people will say that the playoff performances alone should get Schilling in the hall of fame.  And while I realize the objective of every team every year is to win it all, and Schilling certainly helped his teams do just that, how can we take 19 career post seasons starts and have them outweigh the other 569 games he pitched in during his career or the 436 other starts?  While he was spectacular once the calendar turned to October, he was only spectacular for some of the 20 years he pitched during the regular year.

Hall of fame players are spectacular for the majority of their careers.  That's why they're in the hall of fame.  It wouldn't be the most exclusive club in all of sports if they were letting in just anybody.

To say Curt Schilling was just anybody would be undervaluing him, yes.  But to enshrine him into Cooperstown would be to say that he was an elite pitcher for most of his career.

Look at the numbers.  They're really good, but not elite.  So Schilling shouldn't be in the hall of fame.  Bottom line.

Sunday, March 1, 2009

Should the Cubs or Rays Want Curt Schilling?

Curt Schilling says there's only a twenty percent chance he returns to baseball.  He hasn't pitched since 2007, and sat out all of last season rehabbing from shoulder surgery.

But if he were to come back, he says he'd like to pitch for either the Tampa Bay Rays or Chicago Cubs.

It's the obvious challenge:  take a team that hasn't won in 100 years, and break their curse like he did the Red Sox, or go to a team that until winning the American League pennant last year was the perennial doormat of the AL East.  Schilling could add to his legendary post season status, especially if he brought the Red Sox and Cubs a World Series Championship in his career.  Who else in baseball history would be able to say that?

Still, before we start worrying about where he'll go, he's not even sure he wants to pitch.  Like I said, Schilling said his chances of returning are just twenty percent.

"I'm hemming and hawing right now," Schilling said about the possibility of pitching again to ESPN Radio.  "I'll make a decision in the next couple of weeks."

Schilling has been a great pitcher in his career for stretches.  I don't believe he's a hall of famer myself, but he has had an excellent career.  He has 216 career wins, has a career ERA of 3.46 and has 3,116 career strikeouts.

His post-season numbers are amazing however, as he boasts an 11-2 career record in October with a 2.23 ERA.  The thought of having him pitch in the playoffs, especially for a Cubs team that hasn't won a post-season game during the last two years, would be enticing.

But his last full season in the bigs was fairly pedestrian.  He went 9-8 with a 3.87 ERA, and struck out 101 over 151 innings.  He also allowed 21 home runs during that stretch.  Those numbers aren't exactly the type of numbers a GM would covet, especially from a pitcher who will turn 43 this year.

If you're the Cubs, I suppose he could fit into the fifth spot in the rotation behind Carlos Zambrano, Ryan Dempster, Rich Harden and Ted Lilly.  In the playoffs, maybe you start Schilling in games one or two of a playoff series, depending on how he's pitching heading into the series.  Plus, you'd have a guy who historically loves enormous pressure and wouldn't likely be fazed by the pressure the Cubs roster is usually burdened with in October.

If you're the Rays, he'd be entering a young and already crowded rotation, with Scott Kazmir, James Shields, Matt Garza, Andy Sonnanstine and David Price already responsible for rise of Tampa Bay in 2008.  It would be interesting to see him pitch against Boston in the ALCS or in the World Series, but the Rays appear to be a team that has the pitching to win it.  With more experience you'd think they could probably capture the crown without Schilling in the rotation.

And again, he turns 43 this year.

If you're getting the Schilling of the past, it would be a no brainer to have this guy in uniform as soon as he's ready to go.  If you're not though, imagine the disappointment for a Cubs team to add a guy like Schill and still not get to the promised land.  And if you're the Rays, adding him might slow the development of one of your young starters who needs the experience to improve.

What do you all think?  Post away.